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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Market News: The United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution by an overwhelming majority, demanding an immediate and unconditional permanent ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.

Australia announced the establishment of bass strait (the strait between the Australian mainland and Tasmania) offshore wind power area in Tasmania, southeast of Australia.Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.The policy continued to catalyze the large consumption sector or welcome a new round of valuation to repair the market. On December 11, the A-share market shrank. The concept sector of big consumption has been concerned by the market, and the food, beverage and retail sectors are among the top gainers. Analysts believe that near the Spring Festival, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and the big consumer sector is expected to usher in a new round of valuation repair. An Yaze, chief analyst of the food and beverage industry of CITIC Jiantou Securities, said that the recent introduction of a series of incremental fiscal and monetary policies has released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand. The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in a turning point in the boom. (china securities journal)

Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Shandong Gold H shares to over-allocation, with a target price of HK$ 22.20.List of A-share share repurchase: 16 companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, and on December 12, a total of 16 companies issued announcements related to share repurchase. Among them, four companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, two companies' repurchase plans were approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and six companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of a company's stock repurchase plan on that day exceeded 10 million. Nanshan aluminum, Longzhu Science and Technology and Longzhu Science and Technology have the highest repurchase plans, and they plan to repurchase no more than 600 million yuan, 5,895,100 yuan and 1,171,000 yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, the repurchase plans of two companies exceeded 10 million on that day. Huaan Securities and Tongkun have the highest repurchase amount, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 200 million yuan and 51,966,700 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Shunluo Electronics, Shengquan Group and Hailiang have the highest repurchase amounts, with 9.009 million yuan, 3.8251 million yuan and 3.5187 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, the repurchase amount of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Chengda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Jinshi Resources Co., Ltd. and Yingfangwei Co., Ltd. have completed the highest repurchase amounts, with 57,061,600 yuan, 53,158,000 yuan and 31,405,600 yuan respectively.Brazil will auction a foreign exchange credit line of up to $4 billion on December 12th.